UPDATE: A new intelligence report warns of a “high likelihood” that Hamas will launch attacks in Europe within the next six months. This urgent alert underscores a significant shift in Hamas’s operational strategy, expanding its influence far beyond Gaza and into the UK and continental Europe.
The report, obtained by The Daily Mirror, reveals that Hamas has been intentionally developing foreign operational capabilities. Over the past decade, intelligence has shown a strategic pivot from focusing solely on Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank to planning potential attacks on European soil. Authorities confirm that this threat is not merely speculative; it is based on extensive intelligence gathering by European and Israeli agencies.
Officials highlight that Hamas has been establishing a network across Europe, utilizing charities, NGOs, and organized crime connections to facilitate their operations. Despite suffering significant setbacks in Gaza, including the loss of key leadership, the group’s ambitions to expand its terror influence remain strong.
The report states:
“If Hamas sustains further attrition, external operations may grow in relative importance within the group’s strategy.”
This chilling forecast suggests that Hamas is preparing for increased activity in Europe, particularly targeting Israeli diplomatic missions, businesses linked to Israel, and Jewish sites.
Current assessments from MI5 and the Joint Terrorism Analysis Centre indicate a “substantial” threat level of terrorism in the UK. Intelligence experts fear that Hamas is poised to demonstrate resilience through external operations. The next six months are critical, with authorities warning of continued attempts to carry out attacks.
Colonel Richard Kemp, a former UK government terrorism adviser, emphasized the reality of this threat:
“Europe would be a place to expect attacks of this sort and the threat is apparently quite real as Hamas tries to assert its influence.”
He further noted that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is likely providing substantial support to Hamas’s operations, with similar objectives to harm Israel and its allies.
Recent data from 2019 to 2025 shows Hamas has been laying the groundwork for global operations, embedding operatives in Europe and establishing clandestine weapons caches. This preparation reflects a calculated effort by Hamas to leverage small, compartmented cells ready for action.
As the risk of attacks escalates, it is imperative for UK authorities to enhance collaboration with Israeli intelligence to thwart potential threats from Hamas. The implications of these developments are profound and raise serious concerns for the safety of Jewish communities throughout Europe.
Stay updated on this developing story as authorities continue to monitor the situation closely. For more breaking news, sign up for our free daily newsletter.
