Millions of Texans Face Premium Hike as ACA Tax Credits Expire

URGENT UPDATE: Millions of Texans are bracing for a potential surge in health insurance premiums as enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) tax credits are set to expire by mid-December. Health care leaders warn that without Congressional action, the state’s already alarming uninsured rate—currently at 17%—could rise dramatically.

The expiration of these critical tax credits, which have significantly lowered costs for many Texans, comes at a time when the government has just reopened following a brief shutdown that highlighted the ongoing debate over pandemic-era subsidies. Local advocates emphasize that Texas stands to be hit the hardest if these subsidies are not extended.

Annie Spilman, executive director of Texans for Affordable Healthcare, stated, “Texas is going to be hit the hardest out of any other state. We’ve truly had a health care cost crisis.” The state’s unique approach, opting for a private-market system over Medicaid expansion, has left many residents vulnerable.

Currently, nearly 4 million Texans are enrolled in marketplace plans, with an estimated 1 in 6 nationwide enrollees hailing from Texas. If the enhanced premium tax credits are allowed to expire, analysts predict that up to 1.45 million fewer Texans will be able to afford coverage, leading to a potential 27% increase in the uninsured rate across the state.

The impact of this potential crisis extends beyond just numbers. Small business owners, gig workers, and rural residents—particularly those aged 55 to 64—are expected to be severely affected. Carrie Kroll, vice president of advocacy and public policy for the Texas Hospital Association, noted that rising costs could lead to businesses shutting down and a workforce unable to maintain employment due to health issues.

Local healthcare leaders are sounding the alarm. “The increase in costs will not only affect those who cannot afford insurance but will also drive up expenses for those who can,” explained Kroll. With fewer individuals sharing the costs in the marketplace, premiums are projected to rise by an average of 115% for those who remain insured.

Researchers from Texas A&M University have warned that the loss of subsidies could make healthcare less accessible, exacerbating existing challenges in the state. Laura Dague, a health policy professor, emphasized that the issue is one of access—who can receive care and who cannot. “If hospitals struggle to remain financially viable, crucial services may be cut or eliminated,” Dague warned.

As Congress approaches a decision point, the urgency of this matter cannot be overstated. Republican lawmakers have committed to voting on the extension of tax credits by mid-December, making this a critical moment for millions of Texans who rely on these subsidies for affordable healthcare.

Community hospitals, already facing financial strain, may be forced to reduce services or close altogether if the subsidies are not renewed. “If hospitals have a harder time staying open, we see different types of services might not be offered any longer,” Dague added.

This issue is not just a political debate; it has real consequences for Texans across the state. As the clock ticks down to the mid-December deadline, the healthcare community urges residents to stay informed and advocate for their access to affordable insurance.

The situation remains fluid, and as developments unfold, Texans are encouraged to monitor updates closely. For those concerned about how premium changes may affect them, resources are available to assess potential increases in costs.

Stay tuned as we follow this urgent story that impacts the health and wellbeing of millions in Texas.